Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 22.754482 26.322845 30.182041 34.655277 39.686368 45.158676 51.549654
2025-02-09 16.676443 21.609842 27.463066 34.866439 43.922450 54.577670 67.995740
2025-02-16 12.931068 18.372400 25.323898 34.734714 47.004018 62.305831 82.658924
2025-02-23 10.330468 15.897755 23.475031 34.334416 49.253706 68.755837 95.847325
2025-03-02 8.500349 14.056630 22.057082 34.108234 51.427071 74.984354 108.917927
2025-03-09 7.099052 12.552208 20.822101 33.853946 53.349990 80.814438 121.646288
2025-03-16 5.592366 10.599263 18.607274 31.814850 52.380664 82.368378 128.344730
2025-03-23 5.010461 10.050614 18.466034 32.859066 55.988117 90.630986 145.020513
2025-03-30 4.599929 9.722396 18.617907 34.339276 60.323971 100.179979 164.073037
2025-04-06 3.893617 8.731207 17.510262 33.599980 61.026825 104.195358 174.973572
2025-04-13 3.184426 7.603661 16.003169 31.988410 60.113106 105.556750 181.774821
2025-04-20 3.007309 7.515857 16.375181 33.693795 64.851664 116.128389 203.495861
2025-04-27 2.942901 7.686710 17.311034 36.611314 72.073193 131.445949 234.106514
2025-05-04 2.614048 7.227191 16.976322 37.167905 75.259701 140.416601 255.148431
2025-05-11 2.270663 6.664090 16.351342 37.091252 77.283073 147.536002 273.522987
2025-05-18 1.950802 6.086730 15.607247 36.679253 78.618791 153.506242 290.229504
2025-05-25 1.691053 5.602611 14.990459 36.441998 80.232864 160.013685 308.134648
2025-06-01 1.466265 5.158963 14.396004 36.173225 81.737313 166.374033 326.059256
2025-06-08 1.167067 4.426075 13.004730 34.014259 79.296421 165.382825 330.939730
2025-06-15 1.080249 4.305601 13.084135 35.120046 83.528631 176.930286 358.748793
2025-06-22 1.022553 4.263973 13.355873 36.687036 88.815996 190.718764 391.215240
2025-06-29 0.870166 3.870973 12.654919 35.904468 89.091306 194.962065 406.357578
2025-07-06 0.706329 3.386244 11.622623 34.198087 87.223963 194.918919 413.485926